Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.3% vs Duchene 54.1% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 24-20 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 51.1%
Defensive zone
Turris 50.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 52.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Turris
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
24
(44 meetings)
20
24
Turris
Duchene
Last 10: Turris 6-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
9
7
Turris
Duchene
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
5
6
Turris
Duchene
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
6
11
Turris
Duchene
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (7,653)
53.9% (10,396)
-3.7%
Power Play
52.4% (1,312)
56.9% (1,665)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (580)
49.1% (468)
-0.5%
On power play, Duchene has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Turris shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Home / Away
Turris
Duchene
Home
53.5% (4,794)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
47.1% (4,756)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Turris
Duchene
P1
51.5%
54.5%
P2
50.8%
54.5%
P3
48.4%
53.4%
OT
56.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 12:14 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 12:25 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 01:57 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 8, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 3 | 18:03 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |