Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedlak 51.2% vs Duchene 52.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 50.3%
Defensive zone
Sedlak 68.6%
Neutral zone
Sedlak 58.2%
Result
Lukas Sedlak favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Sedlak
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Sedlak
Duchene
Last 5: Sedlak 0-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Sedlak
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Sedlak
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedlak
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (342)
52.6% (1,112)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
56.0% (193)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (21)
49.0% (49)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Sedlak has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Sedlak is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Sedlak shoots left. Duchene is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Sedlak
Duchene
Home
50.6% (164)
55.7% (652)
Away
52.2% (207)
50.4% (702)
By Period
Sedlak
Duchene
P1
51.5%
51.4%
P2
52.4%
53.9%
P3
50.9%
53.3%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
60.4%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedlak
44.0%▼
45.5%
51.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |