Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 50.1% vs Duchene 54.2% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 51.7%
Defensive zone
Letestu 55.8%
Neutral zone
Letestu 52.8%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Letestu
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Letestu
Duchene
Last 6: Letestu 2-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Letestu
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Letestu
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Letestu
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (378)
56.8% (706)
-6.5%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
56.1% (57)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (84)
42.3% (130)
+1.7%
On power play, Letestu has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Letestu is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Letestu shoots right. Duchene is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Letestu
Duchene
Home
51.9% (231)
56.6% (488)
Away
48.4% (256)
52.3% (405)
By Period
Letestu
Duchene
P1
48.0%
52.0%
P2
55.7%
53.7%
P3
45.1%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.1%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |