Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +21.7% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Janmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 57.0% vs Janmark 40.0% (+21.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 75.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 70.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 67.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Duchene
Janmark
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Duchene
Janmark
Last 5: Duchene 3-2 Janmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Janmark
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Janmark
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Janmark
0
2
Duchene
Janmark
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Janmark
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (527)
36.1% (238)
+20.4%
Power Play
61.6% (185)
40.0% (15)
+21.6%
Penalty Kill
59.3% (27)
28.6% (7)
+30.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Janmark shoots left. Duchene is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Duchene shoots left. Janmark is 36.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Duchene
Janmark
Home
57.6% (403)
33.3% (117)
Away
58.3% (336)
38.5% (143)
By Period
Duchene
Janmark
P1
61.4%
38.4%
P2
58.5%
34.7%
P3
54.9%
36.0%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
62.1%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
57.9%
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |