Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Janmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Janmark 43.4% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 70.0%
Defensive zone
Duchene 67.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 72.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Duchene
Janmark
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Duchene
Janmark
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Janmark
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Janmark
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
40.8% (213)
+12.2%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
0.0% (1)
+49.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
40.0% (25)
+3.8%
On power play, Duchene has a +49.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Janmark shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Duchene shoots left. Janmark is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Home / Away
Duchene
Janmark
Home
54.9% (408)
44.1% (111)
Away
50.0% (432)
37.5% (128)
By Period
Duchene
Janmark
P1
52.5%
34.6%
P2
51.7%
41.5%
P3
53.6%
45.6%
Final 5 min
53.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |