Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Sasson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Sasson 43.8% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 50.9%
Defensive zone
Sasson 54.7%
Neutral zone
Sasson 52.4%
Result
Max Sasson favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Duchene
Sasson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Duchene
Sasson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sasson
0
2
Duchene
Sasson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Sasson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sasson
0
1
Duchene
Sasson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Sasson
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
42.2% (374)
+11.7%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
47.4% (19)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
0.0% (3)
+49.1%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sasson shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Sasson is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Duchene
Sasson
Home
55.6% (6,411)
38.8% (160)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
44.5% (236)
By Period
Duchene
Sasson
P1
54.5%
43.8%
P2
54.5%
38.8%
P3
53.4%
44.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Sasson
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.2%