Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Sasson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Sasson 46.2% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sasson 53.0%
Defensive zone
Duchene 53.8%
Neutral zone
Sasson 53.5%
Result
Max Sasson favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Duchene
Sasson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Duchene
Sasson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sasson
0
2
Duchene
Sasson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Sasson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sasson
0
1
Duchene
Sasson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Sasson
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
43.5% (108)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
0.0% (2)
+43.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sasson shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Duchene shoots left. Sasson is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Duchene
Sasson
Home
54.9% (408)
44.1% (59)
Away
50.0% (432)
41.2% (51)
By Period
Duchene
Sasson
P1
52.5%
48.7%
P2
51.7%
40.5%
P3
53.6%
37.9%
Final 5 min
53.3%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Sasson
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.7%