Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.4% vs Ribeiro 46.8% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 62.5%
Defensive zone
Duchene 81.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 74.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Duchene
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Duchene
Ribeiro
Last 8: Duchene 7-1 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Ribeiro
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Ribeiro
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
4
1
Duchene
Ribeiro
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,070)
46.9% (823)
+3.6%
Power Play
49.3% (136)
49.0% (306)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
36.5% (74)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Duchene is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Duchene shoots left. Ribeiro is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Duchene
Ribeiro
Home
49.8% (633)
46.3% (620)
Away
51.1% (613)
46.9% (593)
By Period
Duchene
Ribeiro
P1
51.0%
48.5%
P2
51.5%
46.5%
P3
49.1%
43.6%
OT
36.8%
58.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.4%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 2 | 03:48 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 14:43 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 05:39 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |