Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 24 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 28-13 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 83.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 98.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 96.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 94.1%
94.1%
5.9%
Duchene
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
13
(41 meetings)
28
13
Duchene
Ribeiro
Last 10: Duchene 7-3 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
7
Duchene
Ribeiro
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
8
0
Duchene
Ribeiro
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
18
6
Duchene
Ribeiro
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
42.9% (4,887)
+11.0%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
45.6% (930)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
33.3% (147)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Home / Away
Duchene
Ribeiro
Home
55.6% (6,411)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Duchene
Ribeiro
P1
54.5%
42.6%
P2
54.5%
44.3%
P3
53.4%
41.8%
OT
56.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2016 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 19:54 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |