Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Duchene wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Shore shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Shore 50.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 78.8%
Defensive zone
Shore 53.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 59.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Duchene
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
Duchene
Shore
Last 10: Duchene 4-6 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
5
3
Duchene
Shore
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Duchene
Shore
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
6
3
Duchene
Shore
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
51.8% (2,455)
+2.1%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
56.3% (64)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
43.1% (297)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Duchene shoots left. Shore is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,965).
Home / Away
Duchene
Shore
Home
55.6% (6,411)
52.0% (1,391)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
49.9% (1,425)
By Period
Duchene
Shore
P1
54.5%
50.6%
P2
54.5%
51.2%
P3
53.4%
50.7%
OT
56.3%
73.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 11:14 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 09:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 03:07 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 1 | 07:15 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 1 | 19:02 | Offensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 08:49 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |