Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Duchene wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Bergeron 56.8% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 80.0%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 72.6%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 77.2%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
Duchene
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Duchene
Bergeron
Last 10: Duchene 7-3 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
5
1
Duchene
Bergeron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
0
Duchene
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Duchene
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,112)
58.4% (972)
-5.8%
Power Play
56.0% (193)
53.4% (221)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
56.0% (175)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Duchene is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Duchene shoots left. Bergeron is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Home / Away
Duchene
Bergeron
Home
55.7% (652)
59.0% (712)
Away
50.4% (702)
55.5% (656)
By Period
Duchene
Bergeron
P1
51.4%
59.1%
P2
53.9%
60.2%
P3
53.3%
53.0%
OT
55.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.0%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |