Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Duchene wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 81.2%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 58.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 68.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Duchene
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Duchene
Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Duchene
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
63.8% (1,102)
-16.9%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
65.3% (288)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
47.6% (210)
+52.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Duchene
Bergeron
Home
58.4% (125)
62.5% (882)
Away
48.4% (95)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Duchene
Bergeron
P1
56.9%
62.5%
P2
52.5%
62.7%
P3
51.9%
60.6%
OT
80.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |