Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.0% vs Holland 46.1% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 88.3%
Defensive zone
Duchene 74.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 74.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Duchene
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Duchene
Holland
Last 5: Duchene 4-1 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Holland
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Holland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Holland
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,081)
45.4% (575)
+7.2%
Power Play
49.6% (119)
44.8% (29)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (17)
46.9% (81)
-5.7%
On even strength, Duchene has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Duchene is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Duchene shoots left. Holland is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Duchene
Holland
Home
54.9% (625)
47.2% (373)
Away
49.3% (592)
43.6% (312)
By Period
Duchene
Holland
P1
52.7%
46.8%
P2
54.1%
47.6%
P3
49.5%
42.5%
OT
57.1%
41.7%
Final 5 min
46.1%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Peter Holland |