Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Holland 45.9% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Holland leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 70.0%
Defensive zone
Holland 66.0%
Neutral zone
Holland 54.0%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Duchene
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Duchene
Holland
Last 10: Duchene 5-5 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
1
Duchene
Holland
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
1
5
Duchene
Holland
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
1
Duchene
Holland
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
45.6% (2,232)
+8.3%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
52.4% (126)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
42.3% (137)
+6.8%
On even strength, Duchene has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Holland is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,605).
Home / Away
Duchene
Holland
Home
55.6% (6,411)
48.6% (1,288)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
42.7% (1,207)
By Period
Duchene
Holland
P1
54.5%
46.1%
P2
54.5%
47.3%
P3
53.4%
43.9%
OT
56.3%
39.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 12:54 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |