Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.3% vs Peverley 58.6% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Peverley 81.9%
Defensive zone
Peverley 77.3%
Neutral zone
Peverley 77.2%
Result
Rich Peverley favored at 78.9%
21.1%
78.9%
Duchene
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Duchene
Peverley
Last 10: Duchene 7-3 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
4
0
Duchene
Peverley
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
2
Duchene
Peverley
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
2
Duchene
Peverley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (933)
62.8% (414)
-13.4%
Power Play
58.7% (104)
54.2% (96)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
52.2% (69)
-4.6%
On even strength, Peverley has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Duchene is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Duchene shoots left. Peverley is 62.0% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Duchene
Peverley
Home
51.9% (534)
63.9% (324)
Away
48.7% (524)
55.3% (255)
By Period
Duchene
Peverley
P1
51.0%
63.3%
P2
48.8%
60.1%
P3
50.6%
58.0%
OT
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.3%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2014 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 16, 2013 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 16, 2013 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 07:50 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 1 | 17:48 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |