Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Duchene wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Peverley 57.7% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Peverley leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 67.9%
Defensive zone
Duchene 60.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 63.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Duchene
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Duchene
Peverley
Last 10: Duchene 7-3 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
5
1
Duchene
Peverley
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
3
7
Duchene
Peverley
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
2
6
Duchene
Peverley
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
58.0% (1,715)
-4.1%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
57.0% (391)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
59.2% (333)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Duchene shoots left. Peverley is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,710).
Home / Away
Duchene
Peverley
Home
55.6% (6,411)
58.1% (1,266)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
57.9% (1,182)
By Period
Duchene
Peverley
P1
54.5%
59.6%
P2
54.5%
57.8%
P3
53.4%
57.0%
OT
56.3%
51.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2014 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 16, 2013 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 16, 2013 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 07:50 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 1 | 17:48 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 06:03 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 1 | 06:07 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |