Matt Duchene vs Samuel Pahlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Pahlsson 52.2% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 22-15 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 89.8%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 77.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 59.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Duchene
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
15
(37 meetings)
22
15
Duchene
Pahlsson
Last 10: Duchene 4-6 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
10
0
Duchene
Pahlsson
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
3
10
Duchene
Pahlsson
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
9
5
Duchene
Pahlsson
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
53.0% (1,716)
+0.9%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
60.0% (35)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
49.8% (548)
-0.7%
On power play, Pahlsson has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Pahlsson is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,644).
Home / Away
Duchene
Pahlsson
Home
55.6% (6,411)
54.4% (1,136)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
50.3% (1,188)
By Period
Duchene
Pahlsson
P1
54.5%
54.6%
P2
54.5%
50.7%
P3
53.4%
51.8%
OT
56.3%
44.8%
Final 5 min
53.7%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 17:04 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 12, 2011 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 12, 2011 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 12, 2011 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 12, 2011 | 1 | 14:43 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 12, 2011 | 1 | 14:30 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 22, 2011 | OT | 03:20 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 07:36 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |