Scouting Report
Stephen Weiss holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.3% vs Weiss 51.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weiss 58.9%
Defensive zone
Weiss 50.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 54.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Duchene
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Duchene
Weiss
Last 6: Duchene 4-2 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
0
1
Duchene
Weiss
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Weiss
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
1
Duchene
Weiss
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (933)
52.3% (308)
-2.9%
Power Play
58.7% (104)
42.9% (35)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
57.1% (14)
-9.5%
On power play, Duchene has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Duchene shoots left. Weiss is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Duchene
Weiss
Home
51.9% (534)
51.7% (172)
Away
48.7% (524)
51.4% (185)
By Period
Duchene
Weiss
P1
51.0%
53.2%
P2
48.8%
53.2%
P3
50.6%
50.0%
OT
57.1%
16.7%
Final 5 min
50.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.3%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 13:35 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 10:34 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |