Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Weiss shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Weiss 53.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 55.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 53.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 58.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Duchene
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Duchene
Weiss
Last 10: Duchene 6-4 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
2
3
Duchene
Weiss
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
4
1
Duchene
Weiss
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
5
3
Duchene
Weiss
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
53.0% (2,521)
+0.9%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
54.6% (560)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
49.4% (245)
-0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Weiss is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,175).
Home / Away
Duchene
Weiss
Home
55.6% (6,411)
54.7% (1,745)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
51.3% (1,657)
By Period
Duchene
Weiss
P1
54.5%
53.5%
P2
54.5%
54.2%
P3
53.4%
52.2%
OT
56.3%
44.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 13:35 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 10:34 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2010 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 13:27 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 09:22 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 18:55 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 1 | 11:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |