Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Wandell on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.4% vs Wandell 44.9% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wandell 62.3%
Defensive zone
Wandell 62.7%
Neutral zone
Wandell 69.7%
Result
Tom Wandell favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Duchene
Wandell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Duchene
Wandell
Last 7: Duchene 2-5 Wandell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wandell
1
3
Duchene
Wandell
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Wandell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wandell
0
1
Duchene
Wandell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Wandell
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,070)
43.6% (390)
+6.9%
Power Play
49.3% (136)
57.1% (21)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
27.3% (22)
+22.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wandell shoots left. Duchene is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Duchene shoots left. Wandell is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (310).
Home / Away
Duchene
Wandell
Home
49.8% (633)
43.7% (199)
Away
51.1% (613)
43.6% (236)
By Period
Duchene
Wandell
P1
51.0%
44.0%
P2
51.5%
44.4%
P3
49.1%
42.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.4%
Wandell
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 11:53 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Tom Wandell |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Tom Wandell |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Tom Wandell |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Tom Wandell |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |