Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Wandell on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Wandell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Wandell 44.0% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wandell 71.5%
Defensive zone
Wandell 63.5%
Neutral zone
Wandell 73.0%
Result
Tom Wandell favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Duchene
Wandell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Duchene
Wandell
Last 7: Duchene 2-5 Wandell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wandell
1
3
Duchene
Wandell
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Wandell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wandell
0
1
Duchene
Wandell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Wandell
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
42.9% (791)
+11.0%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
51.3% (39)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
42.1% (38)
+7.0%
On even strength, Duchene has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wandell shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Wandell is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Duchene
Wandell
Home
55.6% (6,411)
41.2% (413)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
45.3% (457)
By Period
Duchene
Wandell
P1
54.5%
45.1%
P2
54.5%
41.2%
P3
53.4%
44.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Wandell
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 11:53 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Tom Wandell |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Tom Wandell |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Tom Wandell |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Tom Wandell |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |