Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.9% vs Plekanec 49.2% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 69.5%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 78.1%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 53.7%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Duchene
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Duchene
Plekanec
Last 7: Duchene 1-6 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Duchene
Plekanec
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Duchene
Plekanec
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
4
Duchene
Plekanec
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (357)
49.8% (1,095)
+1.2%
Power Play
53.6% (28)
49.4% (174)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
47.3% (364)
+2.7%
On power play, Duchene has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Duchene shoots left. Plekanec is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,041).
Home / Away
Duchene
Plekanec
Home
51.0% (208)
49.4% (789)
Away
51.4% (183)
48.8% (889)
By Period
Duchene
Plekanec
P1
53.3%
51.9%
P2
53.4%
48.8%
P3
44.6%
47.8%
OT
66.7%
39.6%
Final 5 min
56.5%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 09:05 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |