Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 24 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Plekanec 50.1% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Plekanec leads 38-36 in 74 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 66.2%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 69.6%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 53.1%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Duchene
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
38
(74 meetings)
36
38
Duchene
Plekanec
Last 10: Duchene 7-3 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
13
9
Duchene
Plekanec
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
15
13
Duchene
Plekanec
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
8
16
Duchene
Plekanec
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
50.8% (8,558)
+3.1%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
51.3% (1,151)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
46.0% (1,924)
+3.1%
On power play, Duchene has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Plekanec is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,049).
Home / Away
Duchene
Plekanec
Home
55.6% (6,411)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Duchene
Plekanec
P1
54.5%
52.5%
P2
54.5%
48.9%
P3
53.4%
49.0%
OT
56.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2018 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 4, 2018 | 2 | 04:08 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2018 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 17:02 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 00:21 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 16:09 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 15:26 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 3 | 10:41 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 3 | 00:21 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 2 | 02:56 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |