Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Rask 50.4% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 73.8%
Defensive zone
Rask 77.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.5%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Duchene
Rask
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
50.6% (172)
-3.7%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
50.0% (4)
+23.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. Rask is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Duchene
Rask
Home
58.4% (125)
53.7% (82)
Away
48.4% (95)
47.9% (94)
By Period
Duchene
Rask
P1
56.9%
56.0%
P2
52.5%
47.5%
P3
51.9%
49.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%