Matt Duchene vs Vladimir Sobotka
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sobotka on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Sobotka 55.8% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 63.0%
Defensive zone
Sobotka 68.8%
Neutral zone
Sobotka 54.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Duchene
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
15
(32 meetings)
17
15
Duchene
Sobotka
Last 10: Duchene 7-3 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
11
7
Duchene
Sobotka
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
5
2
Duchene
Sobotka
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
1
6
Duchene
Sobotka
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
56.9% (2,613)
-3.0%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
57.0% (223)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
50.6% (447)
-1.5%
On even strength, Sobotka has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Sobotka is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,145).
Home / Away
Duchene
Sobotka
Home
55.6% (6,411)
58.7% (1,601)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
53.5% (1,685)
By Period
Duchene
Sobotka
P1
54.5%
56.2%
P2
54.5%
56.3%
P3
53.4%
55.3%
OT
56.3%
61.4%
Final 5 min
53.7%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 07:39 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 04:45 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 07:31 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |