Scouting Report
Mikhail Grabovski holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Grabovski on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ellis 44.7% vs Grabovski 53.4% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ellis 74.8%
Defensive zone
Ellis 66.7%
Neutral zone
Ellis 69.2%
Result
Matt Ellis favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Ellis
Grabovski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Ellis
Grabovski
Last 6: Ellis 1-5 Grabovski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
1
3
Ellis
Grabovski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
0
1
Ellis
Grabovski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grabovski
0
1
Ellis
Grabovski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ellis
Grabovski
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (129)
53.0% (602)
-11.1%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
66.7% (36)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (34)
100.0% (3)
-55.9%
On power play, Grabovski has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grabovski shoots left. Ellis is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Ellis shoots left. Grabovski is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Ellis
Grabovski
Home
39.6% (53)
52.9% (344)
Away
42.5% (113)
55.2% (297)
By Period
Ellis
Grabovski
P1
40.7%
54.5%
P2
46.0%
52.9%
P3
34.9%
54.6%
OT
100.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
36.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
41.6%
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2013 | 3 | 01:44 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 18:01 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |