Matt Ellis vs Mikhail Grabovski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikhail Grabovski holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Grabovski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ellis 46.8% vs Grabovski 50.2% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Grabovski leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Ellis 57.0%
Defensive zone
Ellis 67.6%
Neutral zone
Ellis 66.5%
Result
Matt Ellis favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Ellis
Grabovski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Ellis
Grabovski
Last 10: Ellis 3-7 Grabovski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
3
4
Ellis
Grabovski
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
0
3
Ellis
Grabovski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grabovski
0
2
Ellis
Grabovski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ellis
Grabovski
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (607)
50.0% (3,443)
-2.7%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
52.1% (459)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (95)
45.2% (104)
-3.1%
On power play, Grabovski has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grabovski shoots left. Ellis is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Ellis shoots left. Grabovski is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,613).
Home / Away
Ellis
Grabovski
Home
48.5% (303)
51.0% (2,090)
Away
44.8% (406)
49.3% (1,966)
By Period
Ellis
Grabovski
P1
50.0%
50.0%
P2
46.2%
49.9%
P3
41.3%
50.6%
OT
100.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
42.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
46.4%
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2013 | 3 | 01:44 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 18:01 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |