Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ellis on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ellis 44.7% vs Kadri 45.6% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 58.5%
Defensive zone
Ellis 56.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 53.6%
Result
Matt Ellis favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Ellis
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Ellis
Kadri
Last 7: Ellis 3-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Ellis
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ellis
3
1
Ellis
Kadri
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Ellis
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ellis
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (129)
44.1% (957)
-2.2%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
51.9% (162)
-51.9%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (34)
50.0% (8)
-5.9%
On power play, Kadri has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Ellis is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Ellis shoots left. Kadri is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Home / Away
Ellis
Kadri
Home
39.6% (53)
47.0% (555)
Away
42.5% (113)
43.5% (572)
By Period
Ellis
Kadri
P1
40.7%
47.5%
P2
46.0%
45.1%
P3
34.9%
44.2%
OT
100.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
36.1%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
41.6%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 16:25 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 01:43 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |