Scouting Report
Matt Ellis holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Antropov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ellis 46.8% vs Antropov 45.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Antropov 74.6%
Defensive zone
Ellis 61.9%
Neutral zone
Ellis 51.8%
Result
Nik Antropov favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Ellis
Antropov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Ellis
Antropov
Last 5: Ellis 2-3 Antropov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Antropov
0
1
Ellis
Antropov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ellis
1
0
Ellis
Antropov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Antropov
1
2
Ellis
Antropov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ellis
Antropov
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (607)
45.7% (1,209)
+1.6%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
45.5% (191)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (95)
39.0% (77)
+3.1%
On power play, Antropov has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Antropov shoots left. Ellis is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Ellis shoots left. Antropov is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Ellis
Antropov
Home
48.5% (303)
48.0% (704)
Away
44.8% (406)
42.4% (786)
By Period
Ellis
Antropov
P1
50.0%
42.8%
P2
46.2%
47.0%
P3
41.3%
45.6%
OT
100.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
42.4%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
46.4%
Antropov
42.0%▲
39.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2012 | 1 | 17:34 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |