Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ellis 46.8% vs Couturier 52.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ellis 63.9%
Defensive zone
Ellis 67.0%
Neutral zone
Ellis 69.2%
Result
Matt Ellis favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Ellis
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Ellis
Couturier
Last 9: Ellis 3-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
4
Ellis
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ellis
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ellis
1
0
Ellis
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ellis
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (607)
52.5% (11,063)
-5.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
59.7% (1,280)
-31.1%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (95)
48.5% (1,816)
-6.4%
On power play, Couturier has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Ellis is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Ellis shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
Ellis
Couturier
Home
48.5% (303)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
44.8% (406)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Ellis
Couturier
P1
50.0%
52.5%
P2
46.2%
52.6%
P3
41.3%
52.9%
OT
100.0%
49.4%
Final 5 min
42.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
46.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 16:07 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |