Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hendricks shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 45.0% vs Hendricks 54.4% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hendricks 66.3%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 92.8%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 86.2%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 85.1%
14.9%
85.1%
Lazar
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lazar
Hendricks
Last 6: Lazar 5-1 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Hendricks
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Hendricks
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
0
Lazar
Hendricks
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (341)
59.6% (329)
-15.3%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
46.7% (15)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
44.0% (109)
-14.6%
On even strength, Hendricks has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Lazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Lazar shoots right. Hendricks is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Lazar
Hendricks
Home
45.0% (202)
52.4% (233)
Away
42.3% (182)
58.6% (220)
By Period
Lazar
Hendricks
P1
45.5%
55.1%
P2
43.0%
55.2%
P3
42.1%
55.6%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
43.8%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2016 | 3 | 03:31 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 09:52 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |