Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.4% vs Hendricks 49.5% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 93.7%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 62.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 77.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Pavelski
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Pavelski
Hendricks
Last 6: Pavelski 6-0 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
0
Pavelski
Hendricks
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Hendricks
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (690)
50.3% (326)
+2.9%
Power Play
61.5% (174)
60.0% (5)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (47)
46.5% (127)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Pavelski is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Pavelski shoots right. Hendricks is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Hendricks
Home
56.1% (421)
47.1% (210)
Away
53.9% (490)
51.2% (248)
By Period
Pavelski
Hendricks
P1
57.1%
50.0%
P2
55.8%
49.4%
P3
52.5%
48.6%
Final 5 min
60.8%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.9%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 09:38 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |