Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.1% vs Hendricks 54.9% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hendricks 77.5%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 81.0%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 79.2%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 78.9%
21.1%
78.9%
Staal
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Staal
Hendricks
Last 6: Staal 5-1 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Hendricks
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Hendricks
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Hendricks
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (662)
55.3% (197)
-5.6%
Power Play
61.2% (103)
50.0% (2)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (149)
61.7% (60)
-17.4%
On penalty kill, Hendricks has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Staal is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Staal shoots left. Hendricks is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Staal
Hendricks
Home
50.0% (446)
55.3% (123)
Away
50.2% (468)
58.1% (136)
By Period
Staal
Hendricks
P1
50.0%
58.7%
P2
49.5%
49.5%
P3
50.5%
63.2%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.1%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |