Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hendricks shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.3% vs Hendricks 54.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hendricks 53.1%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 59.3%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 57.1%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Staal
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Staal
Hendricks
Last 7: Staal 1-6 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Hendricks
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
0
2
Staal
Hendricks
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
0
4
Staal
Hendricks
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,075)
59.6% (329)
-3.0%
Power Play
66.7% (141)
46.7% (15)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (179)
44.0% (109)
+14.1%
On power play, Staal has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Staal is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Hendricks is 62.2% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Staal
Hendricks
Home
57.7% (735)
52.4% (233)
Away
57.9% (660)
58.6% (220)
By Period
Staal
Hendricks
P1
61.8%
55.1%
P2
55.7%
55.2%
P3
56.1%
55.6%
OT
56.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.8%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2016 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |