Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 54.1%). Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Hendricks wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 53.3% vs Koivu 54.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 64.8%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 73.1%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 51.8%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Hendricks
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
15
(26 meetings)
11
15
Hendricks
Koivu
Last 10: Hendricks 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
9
Hendricks
Koivu
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
5
3
Hendricks
Koivu
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Hendricks
Koivu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,616)
54.0% (9,465)
+1.0%
Power Play
52.6% (38)
58.6% (2,100)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (446)
48.9% (1,688)
-0.5%
On power play, Koivu has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Hendricks is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,233).
Hendricks shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Koivu
Home
52.6% (1,023)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
54.3% (1,080)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Hendricks
Koivu
P1
53.2%
53.5%
P2
53.3%
54.6%
P3
53.6%
54.0%
OT
75.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
51.7%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 3 | 10:41 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 18:08 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 1 | 05:13 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |