Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hendricks wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 54.8% vs Dowd 48.1% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hendricks 54.5%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 95.1%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 70.0%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Hendricks
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Hendricks
Dowd
Last 8: Hendricks 6-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
3
0
Hendricks
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hendricks
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
0
Hendricks
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (184)
47.2% (608)
+13.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.1% (96)
+46.9%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (47)
0.0% (3)
+40.4%
On power play, Hendricks has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Hendricks is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (99).
Hendricks shoots left. Dowd is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Dowd
Home
62.3% (114)
48.7% (384)
Away
51.7% (118)
46.7% (323)
By Period
Hendricks
Dowd
P1
51.3%
50.2%
P2
63.0%
47.5%
P3
56.2%
46.2%
Final 5 min
51.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
56.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2017 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |