Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 53.3% vs Dowd 50.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Hendricks leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hendricks 83.2%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 85.8%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 70.6%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Hendricks
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
3
(15 meetings)
12
3
Hendricks
Dowd
Last 10: Hendricks 9-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
4
0
Hendricks
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
5
3
Hendricks
Dowd
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
3
0
Hendricks
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,616)
52.4% (6,009)
+2.6%
Power Play
52.6% (38)
56.1% (164)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (446)
44.1% (1,635)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Hendricks has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Hendricks is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (870).
Hendricks shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Dowd
Home
52.6% (1,023)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
54.3% (1,080)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Hendricks
Dowd
P1
53.2%
51.7%
P2
53.3%
50.4%
P3
53.6%
50.3%
OT
75.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
51.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2018 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |