Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 49.5% vs Dowd 50.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hendricks 54.5%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 50.2%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 59.2%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Hendricks
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Hendricks
Dowd
Last 5: Hendricks 5-0 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
0
Hendricks
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
2
0
Hendricks
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
2
0
Hendricks
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (326)
51.6% (343)
-1.3%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
50.0% (2)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (127)
47.1% (51)
-0.6%
On power play, Hendricks has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Hendricks is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Hendricks shoots left. Dowd is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Dowd
Home
47.1% (210)
43.0% (172)
Away
51.2% (248)
57.1% (224)
By Period
Hendricks
Dowd
P1
50.0%
47.4%
P2
49.4%
60.6%
P3
48.6%
44.7%
Final 5 min
44.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
49.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2018 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |