Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Hendricks wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 53.3% vs Spaling 49.9% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 62.1%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 51.1%
Neutral zone
Spaling 52.3%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Hendricks
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hendricks
Spaling
Last 5: Hendricks 2-3 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hendricks
Spaling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
0
Hendricks
Spaling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
2
Hendricks
Spaling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,616)
50.5% (2,263)
+4.5%
Power Play
52.6% (38)
43.4% (53)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (446)
48.0% (498)
+0.4%
On power play, Hendricks has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Hendricks is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,233).
Hendricks shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Spaling
Home
52.6% (1,023)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
54.3% (1,080)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Hendricks
Spaling
P1
53.2%
49.8%
P2
53.3%
48.3%
P3
53.6%
52.0%
OT
75.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 09:50 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |