Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hendricks wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 49.7% vs Kesler 56.0% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hendricks 65.3%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 64.7%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 66.9%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Hendricks
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Hendricks
Kesler
Last 7: Hendricks 2-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
4
Hendricks
Kesler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
0
Hendricks
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Hendricks
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (159)
57.4% (1,185)
-9.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
58.0% (243)
+42.0%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
49.2% (236)
+6.1%
On power play, Hendricks has a +42.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Hendricks is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Hendricks shoots left. Kesler is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,075).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Kesler
Home
51.1% (88)
58.5% (793)
Away
48.2% (110)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Hendricks
Kesler
P1
43.3%
57.0%
P2
53.8%
55.4%
P3
51.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
63.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
49.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2014 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 10, 2014 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 10, 2014 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 10, 2014 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |