Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 53.3% vs Kesler 55.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hendricks 59.6%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 67.7%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 64.3%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Hendricks
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Hendricks
Kesler
Last 10: Hendricks 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
6
Hendricks
Kesler
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hendricks
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Hendricks
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,616)
56.4% (8,095)
-1.4%
Power Play
52.6% (38)
60.7% (1,437)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (446)
50.5% (1,908)
-2.1%
On power play, Kesler has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Hendricks is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (870).
Hendricks shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Kesler
Home
52.6% (1,023)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
54.3% (1,080)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Hendricks
Kesler
P1
53.2%
56.5%
P2
53.3%
55.9%
P3
53.6%
56.1%
OT
75.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 10, 2014 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 10, 2014 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 10, 2014 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |