Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Read on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Read shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 47.7% vs Read 43.0% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 78.0%
Defensive zone
Read 60.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 59.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Malkin
Read
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Malkin
Read
Last 5: Malkin 3-2 Read
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Read
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Read
1
2
Malkin
Read
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Read
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (922)
43.0% (244)
+3.4%
Power Play
52.7% (262)
36.4% (33)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
34.8% (66)
-12.6%
On power play, Malkin has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Read shoots right. Malkin is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Malkin shoots left. Read is 37.0% vs left-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Malkin
Read
Home
52.4% (601)
43.4% (166)
Away
42.7% (609)
38.9% (180)
By Period
Malkin
Read
P1
48.8%
41.2%
P2
50.6%
43.1%
P3
41.6%
38.1%
OT
65.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.5%
Read
44.0%▲
39.5%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Matt Read |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Matt Read |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |