Scouting Report
Patrik Elias holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Read on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Read wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Read 42.2% vs Elias 42.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Read leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Read 50.2%
Defensive zone
Elias 57.6%
Neutral zone
Elias 51.9%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Read
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Read
Elias
Last 10: Read 7-3 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Read
2
1
Read
Elias
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Read
3
1
Read
Elias
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Read
3
2
Read
Elias
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Read
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (395)
42.3% (2,591)
-0.3%
Power Play
41.5% (41)
48.4% (405)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (87)
36.0% (367)
-2.7%
On power play, Elias has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Read is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Read shoots right. Elias is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Read
Elias
Home
42.8% (250)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
38.8% (276)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Read
Elias
P1
42.5%
41.1%
P2
41.5%
43.1%
P3
38.1%
43.0%
OT
44.4%
43.2%
Final 5 min
37.7%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Read
44.0%▲
39.5%
40.7%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2013 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Matt Read |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 1 | 09:42 | Defensive | Matt Read |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Matt Read |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 06:33 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 01:31 | Neutral | Matt Read |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Matt Read |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Matt Read |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 03:00 | Defensive | Matt Read |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 02:48 | Neutral | Matt Read |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |