Scouting Report
Matt Read holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Read wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Read 42.2% vs Buchnevich 35.4% (+6.8%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 52.5%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 53.9%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 52.0%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Read
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Read
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (395)
33.7% (895)
+8.3%
Power Play
41.5% (41)
44.2% (52)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (87)
24.3% (37)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Read has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Read is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Read shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.1% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Read
Buchnevich
Home
42.8% (250)
34.7% (490)
Away
38.8% (276)
33.2% (494)
By Period
Read
Buchnevich
P1
42.5%
34.4%
P2
41.5%
33.7%
P3
38.1%
33.4%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.7%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Read
44.0%▲
39.5%
40.7%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.9%