Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McDonald wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 57.2% vs Stajan 51.4% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 66.6%
Defensive zone
Stajan 76.2%
Neutral zone
Stajan 66.5%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
McDonald
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
McDonald
Stajan
Last 9: McDonald 3-6 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
2
McDonald
Stajan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
4
McDonald
Stajan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDonald
2
0
McDonald
Stajan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (246)
52.4% (731)
+6.5%
Power Play
62.7% (75)
45.8% (59)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
48.1% (52)
-0.3%
On power play, McDonald has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. McDonald is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (242).
McDonald shoots left. Stajan is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Home / Away
McDonald
Stajan
Home
63.5% (148)
52.9% (427)
Away
56.2% (201)
50.2% (418)
By Period
McDonald
Stajan
P1
64.2%
49.6%
P2
53.8%
53.2%
P3
59.8%
51.5%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
59.3%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2011 | 3 | 14:57 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 16:15 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |