Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 57.0% vs Stajan 47.6% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 86.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 75.7%
Neutral zone
Beagle 76.7%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Beagle
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Beagle
Stajan
Last 5: Beagle 4-1 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Stajan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
1
Beagle
Stajan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
0
Beagle
Stajan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (485)
47.8% (678)
+10.3%
Power Play
84.6% (13)
33.3% (9)
+51.3%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (139)
45.5% (101)
+9.9%
On power play, Beagle has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Beagle is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Beagle shoots right. Stajan is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Beagle
Stajan
Home
57.0% (307)
49.0% (392)
Away
59.1% (330)
45.7% (396)
By Period
Beagle
Stajan
P1
59.1%
47.9%
P2
59.8%
49.8%
P3
56.4%
43.4%
OT
20.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.1%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 1 | 05:14 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |