Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.1% vs Stajan 46.7% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 90.0%
Defensive zone
Stajan 57.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 69.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Carter
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Carter
Stajan
Last 8: Carter 5-3 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
4
1
Carter
Stajan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Stajan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
2
Carter
Stajan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (289)
46.7% (615)
+6.2%
Power Play
56.5% (69)
52.9% (17)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
43.5% (138)
-5.0%
On even strength, Carter has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Carter is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Carter shoots right. Stajan is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Carter
Stajan
Home
56.4% (181)
45.6% (379)
Away
49.3% (203)
46.8% (391)
By Period
Carter
Stajan
P1
56.6%
44.2%
P2
54.0%
46.9%
P3
47.2%
47.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2013 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 11, 2013 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 11, 2013 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 11, 2013 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 11, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |