Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.8% vs Stajan 50.1% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 62.7%
Defensive zone
Stajan 86.2%
Neutral zone
Stajan 69.1%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Carter
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Carter
Stajan
Last 7: Carter 1-6 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Stajan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
1
Carter
Stajan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
4
Carter
Stajan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,137)
50.9% (627)
+2.5%
Power Play
48.7% (154)
40.0% (15)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
47.6% (126)
-4.9%
On power play, Carter has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (964).
Carter shoots right. Stajan is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Carter
Stajan
Home
54.8% (753)
52.4% (401)
Away
48.6% (662)
47.7% (367)
By Period
Carter
Stajan
P1
52.8%
56.3%
P2
53.0%
45.5%
P3
49.9%
48.9%
Final 5 min
49.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.9%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 09:23 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 00:06 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 12:04 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |