Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Thornton wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 57.4% vs Stajan 46.7% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 14-3 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 97.4%
Defensive zone
Thornton 70.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 85.6%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Thornton
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
3
(17 meetings)
14
3
Thornton
Stajan
Last 10: Thornton 9-1 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
6
0
Thornton
Stajan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
2
Thornton
Stajan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
1
Thornton
Stajan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (540)
46.7% (615)
+10.3%
Power Play
64.0% (111)
52.9% (17)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (50)
43.5% (138)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Thornton is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Thornton shoots left. Stajan is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Thornton
Stajan
Home
56.7% (353)
45.6% (379)
Away
60.3% (348)
46.8% (391)
By Period
Thornton
Stajan
P1
59.3%
44.2%
P2
60.1%
46.9%
P3
57.1%
47.7%
OT
47.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.5%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 07:14 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 03:37 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 18:48 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 1 | 18:48 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 2 | 13:45 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |