Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.1%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 50.6% vs Stajan 50.1% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 83.4%
Defensive zone
Stajan 73.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Tavares
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Tavares
Stajan
Last 9: Tavares 8-1 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
0
Tavares
Stajan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Stajan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Stajan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,202)
50.9% (627)
-2.2%
Power Play
59.3% (305)
40.0% (15)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (121)
47.6% (126)
+0.3%
On power play, Tavares has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Tavares is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Tavares shoots left. Stajan is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stajan
Home
52.1% (841)
52.4% (401)
Away
49.0% (787)
47.7% (367)
By Period
Tavares
Stajan
P1
52.2%
56.3%
P2
50.7%
45.5%
P3
49.7%
48.9%
Final 5 min
51.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.6%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2016 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 3 | 06:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |